Post Mortem: 2013 Texas State

Don't be offended when I say you weren't as bad as we thought Texas State.

Don't be offended when I say you weren't as bad as we thought Texas State.

You did better than we expected Texas State. 6-6 is nothing to sneeze at, though why anyone would sneeze "at" anything is beyond the Bud's comprehension. We digress.

Let's open up the Bobcats 2013 season and see what's inside.

Texas State made the jump from FCS to WAC to Sun Belt in two seasons. The Belt wasn't entirely hospitable to State most weekends but nevertheless coach Fran and co. fared as well as could be expected, beating the bottom feeders and getting popped by the conference's upper echelon.

We had a good year, we could’ve had a great year but we weren’t quite up to the task yet. But I’m still proud of what they got done this year.
— Dennis Franchione

Texas State actually played Tech close for a little over a half before falling apart big time to the Red Raiders. The 'Cats should be encouraged by wins over Wyoming and 6-win South Alabama. Let's temper that with a look at how TSU finished 2013, getting drilled in 3 straight by Arky State, Western Kentucky, and Troy. Baby steps Bobats. Baby steps.

2013 Texas State Schedule

Current Record: 6-6, 2-5 (Sun Belt)
Date   Opponent Results
Saturday
Aug. 31
Golden Eagles at Southern Miss Golden Eagles
M.M. Roberts Stadium
Won 22-15
Saturday
Sept. 7
Panthers Prairie View A&M Panthers
Bobcat Stadium
Won 28-3
Saturday
Sept. 14
Open Date
Saturday
Sept. 21
Red Raiders at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Jones AT&T Stadium
Lost 33-7
Saturday
Sept. 28
Cowboys Wyoming Cowboys
Bobcat Stadium
Won 42-21
Saturday
Oct. 5
Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana's Ragin' Cajuns
Cajun Field
Lost 48-24
Saturday
Oct. 12
Warhawks ULM Warhawks
Bobcat Stadium
Lost 21-14
Saturday
Oct. 19
Panthers Georgia State Panthers
Bobcat Stadium
Won 24-17
Saturday
Oct. 26
Jaguars South Alabama Jaguars (HC)
Bobcat Stadium
Won 33-31
Saturday
Nov. 2
Vandals at Idaho Vandals
Kibbie Dome
Won 37-21
Saturday
Nov. 9
Open Date
Saturday
Nov. 16
Indians at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Liberty Bank Stadium
Lost 38-21
Saturday
Nov. 23
Hilltoppers Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Bobcat Stadium
Lost 38-7
Friday
Nov. 29
Trojans at Troy Trojans
Veterans Memorial Stadium
Lost 42-28

What went right...

Nice season fish.

Nice season fish.

Tyler Jones might have a little something, something.

Let's not go calling him Tyler Football or anything, but the freshman from Stephenville might be the answer at quarterback for the Bobcats.  He completed 62% of his passes with 8 TDs and 5 Ints. Throw downfield Tyler, someone has to, no matter what Fran tells you.

Robert Lowe might also have a little something, something.

Lowe.jpg

Lowe is just a sophomore from the planned home of the super collider, Waxahachie. Look it up kids.  Don't look up Robert Lowe's stats, we got'em right here. Lowe averaged almost 6 yards a pop in the run happy Bobcat offense. He was effective enough to get a second team All-Sun Belt patch for his letter jacket, we're assuming letter jackets are still an item. 

ATT    YDS    YDS/A    LONG    TD
 164    945       5.8          59        9

Defensively, the 'Cats weren't terrible.

Granted this isn't the most encouraging headline but it bodes well for the future. The Bobcats finished 58th in total defense and top 3 in the conference. All that and they return most of their talent for 2014. Keep an eye on linebackers Michael Orakpo and David Mayo. They'll be back and presumably better.

2013 Texas State Defense

  Total Defense Points Allowed
Per game 398.3 yds 27.3 pts
NCAA 58th 72nd
SBELT 3rd 5th

What went wrong...

2013 Texas State Statistical Leaders

PASSINGCOMPATTYDSTD
T. Jones10016011308
T. Arndt46864520
RUSHINGCARYDSAVGTD
R. Lowe1649455.89
C. Nutall834775.76
RECEIVINGRECYDSAVGTD
B. Miller2431113.00
A. Erickson2727310.10

The big boys beat up the Bobcats.

There is a statistical shift between Texas State's defensive output against good teams and bad teams. Make that a statistical chasm. The Bobcat defense allowed almost 2 more yards per rush against winning FBS squads. Conference opponents completed passes at an 11% higher clip against the Bobcat D. Want more? Probably not, but chew on this, against FBS winning programs the Bobcats allowed 39 points a game. Against non-winning FBS teams that number dropped to 24 points.

They put the Uh-Oh in Offense.

The Sun Belt is an offensive league. Think the WAC but, you know, solvent. Texas State is in the stone age of the offensive arms race in the league. That means that your defense had better be the '85 Bears. They aren't. 2013 showed the 'Cats that they need score in order to compete in the Belt.

2013 Sun Belt Offense

RKTEAMYDSYDS/GPASSP YDS/GRUSHR YDS/GPTSPTS/G
1Troy5559463.33867322.31692141.040934.1
2Western Kentucky5502458.53140261.72362196.837030.8
3Louisiana-Lafayette5418416.82759212.22659204.543933.8
4South Alabama5106425.53033252.82073172.835329.4
5Arkansas State4970414.22498208.22472206.035629.7
6Louisiana-Monroe4324360.32850237.51474122.826722.3
7Texas State3915326.31857154.82058171.528723.9

Help Wanted...

After the transition from FCS to the WAC the first thing apparent was the lack of FBS talent and size on the roster in San Marcos. Fran and his staff have worked hard make up ground in that area.

PosNat'l
Rank
Nat'l
Rating
Name
School, Hometown
Video HT/ WT/ 40 Commit DateSigned LOI? Commit School
QB PG NR Connor White
(Fork Union Military Academy)
Fork Union, VA
6-5/200 12/15/2013
Texas State
QB JC Randy Price
(Tyler)
Tyler, TX
6-2/200 12/15/2013
Texas State
OLB JC Darnell Dailey
(Contra Costa)
San Pablo, CA
6-2/230 12/15/2013
Texas State
OT NR Will Copa
(Westlake HS)
Austin, TX
6-7.5/300 12/15/2013
Texas State
MLB 62 Dylan Douglass
(Canyon HS)
Canyon, TX
6-3/230 12/13/2013
Texas State
DE NR Cody Casey
(Glenda Dawson HS)
Pearland, TX
6-4/262 11/04/2013
Texas State
K NR James Sherman
(Montgomery Catholic HS)
Montgomery, AL
5-10/180 10/27/2013
Texas State
QB NR Patrick Reed
(Silsbee HS)
Silsbee, TX
6-2/180/4.55 10/26/2013
Texas State
S NR Camyron Brown
(Ridge Point High School)
Missouri City, TX
6-0/193 10/25/2013
Texas State
S NR Frankie Griffin
(Klein Collins HS)
Klein, TX
6-0/188 10/16/2013
Texas State
DE 104 Chris Bradley
(Evangel Christian Academy)
Shreveport, LA
6-2/245 09/24/2013
Texas State
DE NR Cedric Gambrell
(Cleveland HS)
Cleveland, TX
6-5.5/225/4.90 08/05/2013
Texas State
RB NR Stedman Mayberry
(Vista Ridge HS)
Cedar Park, TX
5-10/180 08/02/2013
Texas State
TE NR Gabe Schrade
(Deland HS)
Deland, FL
6-4/225 07/31/2013
Texas State
TE 78 Cameron Knight
(Shallowater HS)
Shallowater, TX
6-3/250 07/31/2013
Texas State
OG 72 Tryston Mizerak
(N Garland HS)
Garland, TX
6-5/293 07/26/2013
Texas State
CB NR Clarence Guidry
(Pflugerville HS)
Pflugerville, TX
6-0/170 07/26/2013
Texas State
S NR Stephan Johnson
(The Woodlands College Park HS)
The Woodlands, TX
6-0/180 07/12/2013
Texas State
CB NR Andrew Aneke
(Ft. Bend Elkins HS)
Missouri City, TX
6-0/180 07/01/2013
Texas State
OLB NR Tillman Johnson
(McNeil HS)
Austin, TX
6-1/230 06/27/2013
Texas State
OG NR Kannon Mackey
(Silsbee HS)
Silsbee, TX
6-3/270 06/19/2013
Texas State
CB NR DeVondrick Dixon
(Gilmer HS)
Gilmer, TX
5-11/161 06/12/2013
Texas State
WR NR Pierre Anderson
(William H Taft HS)
San Antonio, TX
6-1/185 03/09/2013
Texas State
Trystan Mizerak. The Meat Hook.

Trystan Mizerak. The Meat Hook.

Deep down and not so deep down Coach Fran wants to maul people. He's working on accumulating the beef to do so. The Bud loves Trystan Mizerak a mammoth guard from Garland.

Might be a good idea to find some size inside on the defensive line. But then everyone is looking for those guys.

The Bud like Frankie Griffin, a safety from Klein Collins who at this point has chosen the Bobcats over Iowa State, Utah, and Colorado State.

Prognosis for 2014

The Bobcats take on Arkansas Pine Bluff to kick off 2014. Let's go ahead and pencil in a W there. Navy comes to town next and then a couple roadies to Illinois and Tulsa. If Texas State can win one of those three, say Navy or at Tulsa, that's a great start.

As far as the conference slate goes Texas State gets a favorable schedule, missing Troy and road trips to Las Cruces, South Alabama, Georgia State and ULM. They welcome Arkansas State, Louisiana Lafayette, Georgia Southern, and Idaho to San Marcos.

Posted on January 3, 2014 and filed under Southwest Round-Up, Sports.