Quarterback Percentiles thru Week 12

Let's look at how the Texas FBS quarterbacks are looking heading into the last two weeks, based on percentile ranks. 

We've put everything in a handy dandy spreadsheet and only included quarterbacks that have played in four or more games and thrown 10 or more passes per game. We took all those quarterbacks, 178 in all and determined the percentile rank for each quarterback in multiple statistical categories.

The five categories we're concerned about today are:

Completion %: The bench mark of efficient quarterback play. The top 20 to 25 percentile complete passes at a 62% clip or better. 

Yards Per Attempt: Again, another bench mark of efficiency, it's one thing to have a high yardage per completion, it's another to have a high yardage per throw or attempt. 

Interception Rate: No single statistical category is more important than turnovers. Interception rate measure interceptions per attempt. 

Sack Rate: Sacks aren't solely the fault of the quarterback nor are they fault of the offensive line, but sacks are a great measure of overall offensive efficiency and where a quarterback is able to throw the football away. As Bill Belichick says, there no such thing as a bad incompletion. 

Yards Per Play: This stat takes into account the dual threat nature of quarterbacks and the running abilities and the passing abilities combined to determine how much a quarterback influences a game play to play. 

We take all those stats and create a percentile rank for each player, the higher the rank, the better. The lower the rank, congrats you're Kansas errrrr Texas. 

We've added a handy dandy color coding system, 70th percentile and above and it's green for good, 69th to 50th and it's yellow for caution and anything below 49 is red for, well, you get the idea.  

We've also added a percentile average to get an indication of how quarterbacks stack up by averaging together the six percentile rankings. Zach Terrill from Western Michigan has the highest average across the six categories with a 94 percentile average. Second is Ryan Higgins from Louisiana Tech, who as we all know is from Hutto and didn't get an offer from anyone in State. So...let's all think about that.  

Baylor

Let's go ahead an issue a sample size warning here, Zach Smith has taken over for the injured Seth Russell and he's looked like a true freshman making his first starts in a Power 5 conference. Baylor needs to rely on the run game in its last two games and give Smith a reduced playbook, otherwise this gets ugly. Well, uglier.  

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Seth Russell BU 23% 85% 61% 39% 73% 83% 56%
Zach Smith BU
20% 50% 27% 19% 32% 33% 26%

Houston

Look at Greg Ward's chart: completion percentage,  yards per attempt, interception rate and percentile average are all pretty good. His red areas are linked to Houston's offensive line issues, his proclivity for trying to extend plays while not throwing the ball away, as well as Houston's horizontal passing game. 

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Greg Ward UH 95% 29% 65% 60% 50% 49% 64%

North Texas

Another sample size warning, Alex Morris has two starts and a little mop up duty, but he's struggled. Going back to injured starter Mason Fine, we've suspected that UNT's success this year has been based on its run game and team defense and that seems to be panning out in the numbers. Fine is below the 10th percentile in three categories, but he's a freshman so we'd like to think he improves with time.

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Mason Fine UNT 53% 7% 13% 72% 5% 6% 30%
Alec Morris UNT 17% 22% 13% 5% 81% 27% 29%

Rice

Tyler Stehling's career is over at Rice due to injury, no one else on the roster has qualified. Stehling completed over 61% of his passes, really good, 70th percentile, but other than that, Rice didn't get much from the quarterback position. Worth noting again, yards per completion and yards per attempt indicate that Rice didn't threaten much beyond 10 yards from the line of scrimmage. That's an issue with most of the spread quarterbacks. 

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Tyler Stehling Rice 70% 11% 25% 59% 22% 28% 41%

SMU

Hicks' numbers have increased slightly over the last month, but he's still well below the national average comparatively in most categories. Much like Fine, SMU's resurgence has been in spite of Hicks, not because of him. We'd love to see what SMU can do with an average signal caller. Notice his yards per completion, not bad. SMU's skill players are really good and that helps a ton. 

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Ben Hicks SMU 19% 60% 38% 22% 65% 45% 38%

Texas

Shane Buechele has put together a pretty good freshman season, completing passes at an elite level and doing most other things at least average. Buechele struggles with the things that young quarterbacks struggle with, interceptions and sacks. Both have gotten worse lately. 

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Shane Buechele Tex 79% 54% 68% 40% 38% 58% 57%

Texas A&M

When Trevor Knight went down, A&M gained a downfield passer but lost a ton of sack avoidance and rushing yards. Hubenak also gives A&M a lift in terms of completion percentage. As it stands, A&M has played with two very average quarterbacks in 2016, but Knight helped the Aggies' achiles heel, the rushing attack, far more than Hubenak. 

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Trevor Knight TAMU 15% 61% 32% 64% 84% 72% 53%
Jake Hubenak TAMU 55% 84% 83% 67% 21% 53% 56%

TCU

Kenny Hill is really good when he's good, but he's also really bad when he's bad. Hill completes a high percentage of his passes, at an elite level, but doesn't exactly take the top off the defense. That's the offensive style. Still, those numbers are better than most of the spread/air raid QBs. Hill is also very good at breaking contain with over 400 yards rushing second to only Greg Ward as far as Texas QBs rate and in the 80th percentile nationally. 

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Kenny Hill TCU 74% 53% 65% 25% 69% 80% 62%

Texas State

Oh boy. This is bad. Jones completes a high percentage of passes for no yardage and takes a lot of sacks and picks. Most of the red is due to poor line play which leads to sacks, broken plays, and running for your life. 

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Tyler Jones TX St 88% 5% 23% 18% 13% 8% 30%

Texas Tech

Say this about Tech, they might not be able to stop the pass but they sure as hell can coach guys to fling it. Mahomes is the most complete passer in the State. When Shimonek's been asked to fill in he's been really good as well. Too bad it hasn't translated into wins. 

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Patrick Mahomes II TTU 91% 54% 78% 77% 75% 77% 80%
Nic Shimonek TTU 90% 47% 73% 81% 67% 64% 75%

UTEP

When the Miners went to Ryan Metz, they exchanged yards per completion and sack rate for completion percentage and interception avoidance. Everything else is a wash and neither's been anything more than below average. 

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Ryan Metz UTEP 85% 7% 25% 60% 46% 22% 48%
Zack Greenlee UTEP 8% 74% 32% 37% 90% 48% 43%

UTSA

Neither UTSA quarterback's been great, but Sturm's recent downturn has made the argument that Johnson should be playing last least a bit more plausible. Both have suffered from an offensive line that can't protect. Johnson is coming off his best game of the year, oddly against A&M vaunted pass rush. 

Name Team Comp. % Rank Y/C % Y/A % Int Rate % Sack Rate % Yds Play % Percentile Average
Dalton Sturm UTSA 50% 55% 54% 65% 6% 27% 40%
Jared Johnson UTSA 16% 44% 23% 88% 9% 6% 28%

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